A fifth of people are worried about catching COVID-19

A fifth (21%) of people are currently worried about catching COVID-19, while just under a fifth (18%) are worried about becoming seriously ill from the disease, find UCL researchers as part of the Nuffield-funded COVID-19 Social Study.

These figures are the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, but worries about catching the disease have been rising among those aged 18-29 over the past two months. Currently, 28% in this age group are worried, compared to 20% of adults ages 30-59 and 19% of adults ages 60 plus. Since the easing of restrictions in March for the latest lockdown, people not living with children have also been more worried (currently 22%) about catching COVID-19 than those living with children (currently 19%).

Conversely, keyworkers have been less worried about catching the virus than non-keyworkers since last summer (currently 18% of keyworkers say they are worried versus 22% of non-keyworkers) but differences between these two groups in worries about falling seriously ill from it have been negligible. People with a mental or physical health diagnosis, people with lower household incomes, and women have generally been more worried about both catching and falling ill from COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic.

Launched in the week before the first lockdown started, the ongoing UCL COVID-19 Social Study is funded by the Nuffield Foundation with additional support from Wellcome and UK Research and Innovation (UKRI). It is the UK’s largest study into how adults are feeling about the lockdown, government advice and overall wellbeing and mental health with over 70,000 participants who have been followed across the last 64 weeks.

Lead author, Dr Elise Paul (UCL Institute of Epidemiology & Health) said: “Our report shows that as cases, hospitalisations, and deaths are relatively low, people have become less worried about catching and falling seriously ill from COVID-19. Interestingly, the groups who are less worried about the disease include those such as keyworkers, who are often the least able to take action to limit social contact.

“This could be due to this group being more likely to be fully vaccinated, or potentially because they have grown used to being in higher-risk situations and as such have become used to the possibility of infection, even with precautions in place.

“We can also see that worries around catching the virus have increased among younger people, likely due a large number of this group not yet being offered the vaccine and an increasing number of hospital admissions being from younger demographics as the vaccine rollout continues.”

Happiness and life satisfaction has been increasing among respondents since the end of January this year, and levels are now at the highest point since the study began. All demographic groups have reported increasing levels of happiness and life satisfaction since the easing of restrictions for the latest lockdown.

‘Majority’ compliance with the rules and guidelines surrounding the COVID-19 lockdown has remained high throughout the easing of restrictions, and is currently at 91%. However, ‘complete’ compliance with the rules remains lower, at 45%, the same as in summer 2020.

Whilst happiness levels have increased for all demographic groups in recent months, we continue to see differences in the social and economic impacts of the pandemic. 18-29 year olds have recently been reporting higher levels of worries about finance and, as Nuffield-funded research from the Resolution Foundation has shown, young people were more likely to lose their jobs or be furloughed during the pandemic. As furlough ends and uncertainty in the job market continues, the government should consult young people on how best to support them, not only financially but also through access to training, mental health support and housing.” Cheryl Lloyd, Education Programme Head at the Nuffield Foundation

COVID-MINDS Network

The study team is also running the COVID-MINDS Network: an international network of over 140 longitudinal mental health from over 70 countries. Through the network, dozens of scientists and clinicians are coming together internationally to collate results from mental health studies running in countries around the world and compare findings. The initiative is supporting the launch of new mental health studies in other countries, to research whether actions taken in specific countries are helping to protect mental health.

Related project


Explore our projects

A front view of a two teenage girls on the minibus on the way to go on a hiking field trip. They are looking at one of the girls mobile phones and smiling.

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

A Digital Lives’ Framework for Counsellors and Psychotherapists

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project

Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Full Fact: Evidence-based responses to harmful misinformation

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Clear Skies, Clear Minds: Air quality and children’s welfare

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

The evaluation of Thrive at Five’s sites in Stoke and Redcar

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
baby eating fruit on highchair
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Impact of the cost of childcare on parental mobility

View project
Young family with baby look at their finances at the table. They are surrounded by paperwork and a laptop.

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

Roots of problem debt and policies to mitigate its consequences

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
A front view of a two teenage girls on the minibus on the way to go on a hiking field trip. They are looking at one of the girls mobile phones and smiling.

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

A Digital Lives’ Framework for Counsellors and Psychotherapists

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
baby eating fruit on highchair
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Impact of the cost of childcare on parental mobility

View project

Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Full Fact: Evidence-based responses to harmful misinformation

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

The evaluation of Thrive at Five’s sites in Stoke and Redcar

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Clear Skies, Clear Minds: Air quality and children’s welfare

View project
Rear view of children running in their school yard. They are all running towards the door with their backpacks on.
New

Education | 2024 - 2026

Impact of school breakfast programmes

View project
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2026

Beyond teacher assessed grades: Post-16 education choices and COVID-19

View project
Group of students sit around a table listening.
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2025

Educational dialogue for improving Foundation Year student outcomes

View project
Happy woman talking to a colleague at work
In progress

Education | Welfare | 2024 - 2026

Employer investment in upskilling and reskilling in a changing economy

View project
A boy, wearing his PE kit, leans against the lockers. He's on his own in a corridor at school and is looking at the camera.
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2027

Out of sight: exclusions, alternative provision and later life outcomes 

View project
Commuters waiting to get on the tube. There are two men and two women. One woman is looking at her phone, looking concerned.
In progress

Welfare | 2024 - 2025

Routes to safety: Enhancing referrals to make victims of domestic abuse safer, sooner 

View project
A woman is sat on the edge of a bed staring at her phone while her daughter is in the background.
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2025

Virtual parent support portals: a new research and practice agenda

View project
Two little boys and a little girl, all wearing primary school uniform, work together to solve a puzzle in their classroom.
In progress

Education | 2023 - 2025

What has ‘Free School Meals’ measured and what are the implications?

View project
Teenager hugging their mother
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2026

The long-term effects of being a young carer

View project
Elderly woman and adult daughter out shopping
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2026

Connecting pensions, health and care

View project
Early years professionals playing with children
In progress

Education | 2022 - 2024

Understanding the take-up of early education entitlements

View project
Mother, father, son and daughter standing in front of their house
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2025

A regional regeneration index to track socioeconomic ‘Levelling Up’

View project
Two teenage male pupils study a science lesson as part of their post-16 options
In progress

Education | 2019 - 2024

Post-16 pathways: the role of peers, family background and expectations

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
baby eating fruit on highchair
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Impact of the cost of childcare on parental mobility

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

The evaluation of Thrive at Five’s sites in Stoke and Redcar

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Clear Skies, Clear Minds: Air quality and children’s welfare

View project
Rear view of children running in their school yard. They are all running towards the door with their backpacks on.
New

Education | 2024 - 2026

Impact of school breakfast programmes

View project
Dad and children are walking up to the front door of a house.
New

Welfare | 2024 - 2027

Family change, wellbeing and social policy

View project
Black woman typing on laptop in living room
New

Welfare | 2024 - 2025

Enhancing, localising and democratising tax-benefit policy analysis

View project
Reported

Education | Welfare | 2022 - 2024

Understanding school attendance, education and labour market outcomes

View project
Grandparents having fun outdoors with their granddaughter, who is eating an apple and laughing: Understanding family and community vulnerabilities in transition to net zero
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2023

Understanding family and community vulnerabilities in transition to net zero

View project
Father and son using laptop at home
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2025

Developing a minimum digital living standard for households with children

View project
Side view of two female high school students in classroom working on laptops social distancing. Student in foreground is in focus and student in background is blurred
Reported

Education | 2021 - 2022

COVID-19 and disadvantage gaps in England 2020 and 2021

View project
Close up of a young girl and her father wearing protective face masks during the COVID-19 pandemic outside.
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2023

The Economy 2030 Inquiry: navigating a decade of change

View project
Young boy draws and plays with a globe as part of nursery education
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2022

COVID-19 and childcare: local impacts across England

View project
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2021

COVID-19 mitigation measures: education provision and access to special schools

View project
Toddler-gleefully-eats-baked-beans-How-COVID-19-is-affecting-food-security-proj
Reported

Welfare | 2020 - 2021

How the COVID-19 crisis is affecting food security

View project
Male secondary school student working at home on laptop
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2021

The impact of COVID-19 on mainstream schools in England

View project
Teenage-girl-looks-at-smartphone-next-to-laptop-Growing-up-under-COVID-19-PROJ
Reported

Education | Welfare | 2020 - 2022

Growing up under COVID-19

View project
Mother carrying daughter outside their home
Reported

Welfare | 2020 - 2022

COVID realities: families on low incomes during the pandemic

View project
Woman-looks-at-smartphone-screen-How-the-UK-public-gets-information-about-COVID-19-PROJ
Reported

Welfare | 2020 - 2020

How the UK public gets information about COVID-19

View project
Search projects

We improve people’s lives by funding research that informs social policy, primarily in Education, Welfare and Justice. We also fund student programmes that give young people skills and confidence in science and research.

We offer our grant-holders the freedom to frame questions and enable new thinking. Our research must stand up to rigorous academic scrutiny, but we understand that to be successful in effecting change, it also needs to be relevant to people’s experience.

Profile