At their peak, Sure Start centres prevented 13,000 hospitalisations a year among 11- to 15-year-olds

By Nuffield Foundation

Sure Start, one of England’s biggest early years programmes, delivered long-lasting health benefits for children through their teenage years. Taken together, the savings from reduced hospitalisations up to age 15 offset around 31% of spending on the programme.

Established in 1999, Sure Start Children’s Centres brought together health, parenting support, childcare and parental employment services into a one-stop shop for families with children under 5. At its peak in 2010, Sure Start received £1.8 billion a year (a third of overall early years spending), but spending has since fallen by more than two-thirds as many centres have been closed, scaled back or integrated into Family Hubs.

The research, funded by the Nuffield Foundation, builds on previous IFS analysis and provides the first evidence of how this major initiative affected children’s health up to age 15. Focusing on the 2000s (when the programme was expanding), the researchers find that the impact of Sure Start changed as children aged:

  • Greater access to Sure Start initially increases hospitalisations at age 1. This likely reflects the programme’s role in referring parents to appropriate health care for children’s illnesses, and greater exposure to infectious illnesses from group settings.
  • However, these early increases are more than outweighed by longer-term effects, which reduced hospitalisations through childhood and adolescence. Sure Start provision at the level of its peak (in 2010) reduced hospitalisations at age 5 by 7%; this translates to around 2,800 fewer hospitalisations a year.
  • These long-term benefits persisted as children aged. For example, peak levels of Sure Start provision during childhood prevented over 13,150 hospitalisations of 11- to 15-year-olds each year (an 8% reduction on pre-Sure Start hospitalisation rates).  
  • This means that Sure Start has long-term benefits for children’s health, lasting almost a decade after children have ‘aged out’ of eligibility.

These results highlight the importance of integrating a range of services during the early years to improve child health in both the immediate and longer term. These are important lessons for existing services (such as Family Hubs) and should inform the government’s approach to the recommendations in the recent Leadsom Report on the first 1,001 days of life. While this Autumn’s Spending Review will be a tight one, these results highlight the importance of considering the long-term benefits of early intervention policies, not just their upfront cost.

The research also finds that:

  • These benefits for child health likely come from several different channels, including stronger immune systems (which prevent infections in later childhood); less risky environments (which reduce poisonings and accidents); and improved mental health and potentially better behaviour during adolescence. However, we find no evidence that Sure Start affected mothers’ employment.
  • Boys enjoy longer-lasting benefits from Sure Start than girls, reflecting their greater sensitivity to disadvantage in the early years. After the end of primary school, the impact of Sure Start on girls’ hospitalisations fades out, but the benefits for boys continue to grow. By age 15, an extra Sure Start centre per thousand children during childhood prevents over 3,000 hospitalisations a year among boys, but has no effect for girls.
  • The benefits of Sure Start were also longer-lasting in more disadvantaged neighbourhoods. This suggests that Sure Start provision helped to reduce health inequalities. Going forward, an important lesson for services like Family Hubs is that a model combining universal services with an area-based focus on disadvantaged neighbourhoods can be a successful approach to early years interventions.

Maud Pecher, a co-author of the report, said: “By bringing together a wide range of early years services for children under 5, Sure Start centres dramatically improved children’s health even through their teenage years. Children who had greater access to Sure Start in their early years were far less likely to be hospitalised later on – at its peak, Sure Start provision prevented over 13,000 hospitalisations of 11- to 15-year-olds each year. These benefits were particularly long-lasting for boys and children in disadvantaged neighbourhoods.”

Sarah Cattan, IFS Associate Director and a co-author of the report, said: “The savings from reduced hospitalisations up to age 15 offset around a third of the cost of the Sure Start programme – and that’s before considering any potential benefits in education, social care or crime. Ahead of this Autumn’s tight Spending Review, these results are a reminder that policymakers should consider a programme’s potential for long-term savings, not just its upfront costs.”

Related project


Explore our projects

Elevated view of students sitting and learning in computer room
New

Education | 2025 - 2027

Improving wellbeing-focused online media literacy in schools

View project
Childminder playing with toddler

Education | 2025 - 2027

Examining the challenges and benefits of childminding in England

View project
A front view of a two teenage girls on the minibus on the way to go on a hiking field trip. They are looking at one of the girls mobile phones and smiling.

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

A Digital Lives’ Framework for Counsellors and Psychotherapists

View project

Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Full Fact: Evidence-based responses to harmful misinformation

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

Clear Skies, Clear Minds: Air quality and children’s welfare

View project
New

Education | Welfare | 2025 - 2028

The evaluation of Thrive at Five’s sites in Stoke and Redcar

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
In progress

Education | 2023 - 2025

Interventions supporting early self-regulation: a systematic literature review

View project
New

Education | 2025

Implementing effective early education interventions at scale

View project
Shop assistant in supermarket re-stocking fresh vegetables in shelves of produce section.
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Youth transitions to good employment: East Birmingham & North Solihull

View project
A front view of a two teenage girls on the minibus on the way to go on a hiking field trip. They are looking at one of the girls mobile phones and smiling.

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

A Digital Lives’ Framework for Counsellors and Psychotherapists

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
baby eating fruit on highchair
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Impact of the cost of childcare on parental mobility

View project
SEND pupil drawing in classroom
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

The uneven distribution of pupils with SEND in mainstream schools

View project
In progress

Education | 2023 - 2025

Interventions supporting early self-regulation: a systematic literature review

View project
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2026

Beyond teacher assessed grades: Post-16 education choices and COVID-19

View project
Group of students sit around a table listening.
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2025

Educational dialogue for improving Foundation Year student outcomes

View project
In progress

Education | Justice | 2024 - 2027

Evaluating the Fundamental British Values initiative of the DfE

View project
Happy woman talking to a colleague at work
In progress

Education | Welfare | 2024 - 2026

Employer investment in upskilling and reskilling in a changing economy

View project
A boy, wearing his PE kit, leans against the lockers. He's on his own in a corridor at school and is looking at the camera.
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2027

Out of sight: exclusions, alternative provision and later life outcomes 

View project
Commuters waiting to get on the tube. There are two men and two women. One woman is looking at her phone, looking concerned.
In progress

Welfare | 2024 - 2025

Routes to safety: Enhancing referrals to make victims of domestic abuse safer, sooner 

View project
Nursery child playing with teacher in the classroom
In progress

Education | 2024 - 2026

Achieving high-quality provision in the baby room of English nurseries

View project
In progress

Education | 2025 - 2026

Artificial intelligence and education

View project
A woman is sat on the edge of a bed staring at her phone while her daughter is in the background.
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2025

Virtual parent support portals: a new research and practice agenda

View project
Two little boys and a little girl, all wearing primary school uniform, work together to solve a puzzle in their classroom.
In progress

Education | 2023 - 2025

What has ‘Free School Meals’ measured and what are the implications?

View project
Teenager hugging their mother
In progress

Welfare | 2023 - 2026

The long-term effects of being a young carer

View project
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Pupil wellbeing and increased persistent absenteeism: An investigation

View project
traditional detached house within residential estate in England UK, several houses in view have solar panels on the roof.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Distributional impacts of net zero on electricity consumers

View project
Portrait of a senior woman at home checking a letter in the mail
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

How can low earners afford a commensurate retirement income?

View project
Female electrician arrives at job. She is wearing an orange hi-vis jacket and behind her is a van.
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Characterising the job ladder in England

View project
New

Education | 2025

Implementing effective early education interventions at scale

View project
Shop assistant in supermarket re-stocking fresh vegetables in shelves of produce section.
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

Youth transitions to good employment: East Birmingham & North Solihull

View project
Close up of a Young woman going over her retirement savings at home while using her laptop
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Tackling the information gap in retirement saving decisions

View project
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2027

All women are born (un)equal: menopause, HRT and women’s well-being

View project
baby eating fruit on highchair
New

Welfare | 2025 - 2026

Impact of the cost of childcare on parental mobility

View project
SEND pupil drawing in classroom
New

Education | 2025 - 2026

The uneven distribution of pupils with SEND in mainstream schools

View project
Pre-school students sitting in an art classroom being taught by a teacher. The classroom is colourful and the children are sat at a big table.
New

Education | 2024 - 2025

A comparative analysis of EY workforce policy in the four UK nations

View project
Elevated view of students sitting and learning in computer room
New

Education | 2025 - 2027

Improving wellbeing-focused online media literacy in schools

View project
Reception class children using a parachute in a PE lesson
Reported

Education | 2022 - 2023

A movement and story-telling intervention for reception children

View project
Reported

Education | Welfare | 2022 - 2024

Understanding school attendance, education and labour market outcomes

View project
Grandparents having fun outdoors with their granddaughter, who is eating an apple and laughing: Understanding family and community vulnerabilities in transition to net zero
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2023

Understanding family and community vulnerabilities in transition to net zero

View project
Father and son using laptop at home
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2025

Developing a minimum digital living standard for households with children

View project
Side view of two female high school students in classroom working on laptops social distancing. Student in foreground is in focus and student in background is blurred
Reported

Education | 2021 - 2022

COVID-19 and disadvantage gaps in England 2020 and 2021

View project
Close up of a young girl and her father wearing protective face masks during the COVID-19 pandemic outside.
Reported

Welfare | 2021 - 2023

The Economy 2030 Inquiry: navigating a decade of change

View project
Young boy draws and plays with a globe as part of nursery education
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2022

COVID-19 and childcare: local impacts across England

View project
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2022

Ethical principles underpinning co-production with young people

View project
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2021

COVID-19 mitigation measures: education provision and access to special schools

View project
Young-boy-uses-tablet-with-mother-for-maths-learning-Can-maths-apps-add-value-to-learning-PROJ
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2022

Can maths apps add value to learning?

View project
Toddler-gleefully-eats-baked-beans-How-COVID-19-is-affecting-food-security-proj
Reported

Welfare | 2020 - 2021

How the COVID-19 crisis is affecting food security

View project
Male secondary school student working at home on laptop
Reported

Education | 2020 - 2021

The impact of COVID-19 on mainstream schools in England

View project
Search projects

We improve people’s lives by funding research that informs social policy, primarily in Education, Welfare and Justice. We also fund student programmes that give young people skills and confidence in science and research.

We offer our grant-holders the freedom to frame questions and enable new thinking. Our research must stand up to rigorous academic scrutiny, but we understand that to be successful in effecting change, it also needs to be relevant to people’s experience.

Profile