Research-based guidance and classroom activities for teachers of mathematics

How risky is life?

For this task, go to the Bowland Maths website and click on The Case Studies. Scroll down the list using the arrow at the bottom until you see a cast study called How risky is life?

Students engage in a series of tasks that will help them recognise the extent to which the media affects their assessment of the probabilities of dying in various ways. Students make estimations and then examine real data to see how accurate they were.

It is worth noting that risk is used as a synonym for probability, in contrast to some sources, which would define risk in terms of both likelihood and impact. Since the impact in these situations is consistently death, there is little problem in comparing the situations according to likelihood alone.

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